I do everything online, I shop, I work, I
communicate with my peers. Years ago this was not the case, but it was
predicted by Frances Cairncross that this would eventually be our reality.
Today I want to take two very popular forms of communication technology and
apply three of Cairncross’s theory to them, to see how well his predictions
stand up today. We will be examining a web portal and a blog. For those of you
who don’t know a web portal is a site such as Yahoo.com, it is a website that
usually hosts a search engine along, email option, and news stories etc. A blog
(like the one you’re reading now) is a website usually written with a sort of
personal voice in my opinion. It usually caters to a very specific audience,
that’s why there is such a vast community of blogs on the internet, there is
one that caters to everyone’s likes and dislikes. In Cairncross’s A Trendsetter’s Guide to New Communications he
brings up three specific points #4 Improved
Connections, #8 Increased Value of
Niches, and #9 Communities of
Practice.
When addressing #4 it is said that people will have connections to
more than just the internet through the internet they will be connected at the
same time to thing like the television and telephone. This is applicable to
portals because they are not just website they connect people to entertainment,
emails, worldwide news etc. They are basically one-stop shops of the Internet,
you can communicate, inform yourself, and fight bored dome all on the same web
page. Cairncross was pretty spot on with this trend. Web portals are extremely
popular and used daily all across the globe. According to nbcnews.com Google is
the largest web portal used in America and across most of Europe with an
estimated monthly audience of 185,167,472.This also applies to blogs when one sees how
interactive some blogs are now. “Blogs” such as the popular page Buzz feed
incorporate the aspects of the portal that include funny videos, news stories,
and tutorials. Buzz Feed is more of a blog simply because it uses a very causal
voice and is targeted at a niche market. Which brings us to trend #8 which was
in my eyes the most spot on trend spotted by Cairncross. This trend predicted
that the Internet will create sustainable niche markets through identifying and
classifying people. He was so right with this one its scary, haven’t you ever
noticed when using a portal such as Facebook the adds that pop up on the side
of the screen advertising just what you were looking for? Creepy I know. And
when it comes to blogs advertising to niche markets its undeniable that is one
of their main purposes. My older cousin with a baby does nothing but review
products such as baby safe laundry detergent and cloth diapers and blog about
it. She is advertising to her niche reader community of other mommies
interested in the same products. Last point of Cairncross we will look at today
is #9, this one addresses the bonds among people performing the same job and
who speak the same language connecting from across the world will come
together. This was another accurate prediction. With web portals this can be
seen with portals specifically like Facebook that create comminutes based on
having similar interests. You can literally find your best friend or your worst
enemy through leaving comments in a thread under a viral video on Facebook.
With blogs this is even more applicable. A great example that came to mind for
me was the vast travel community that has began to develop with millennials, so
I decided to find a blog about it. My search engine pulled up countless blogs
that were simply blogs talking about
the best travel blogs, not even travel blogs…. Just blogs talking about them.
This created a community for young travels to find the travel blog that they
related to the most. They now have the ability to connect and talk to all these
other young millennials from all across the world all dying to get out there
and travel and see the world, but for now they will have to settle for seeing It
through the words and images on these travel blogs.
Sorry guys I have a tendency to get wordy
with my thoughts, but as you can see Cairncross had a lot of predictions that
were very applicable to the way technology has played out in our day and age.
Of course there are a few that he missed the mark on but we will save those for
another day…. until next my friends.
Sources:
http://www.nbcnews.com/business/americas-10-largest-websites-547780
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